Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 235.715949 265.612044 298.758376 338.396891 384.722386 437.406668 502.220692
2025-02-23 186.798957 225.116108 271.321662 331.776415 409.727941 508.159699 643.970056
2025-03-02 165.036073 208.046780 262.959527 339.472260 445.376159 589.950076 807.944976
2025-03-09 147.064348 191.886703 251.694644 339.272060 467.632700 654.556582 958.611129
2025-03-16 131.320330 176.138120 238.111272 332.640393 477.991573 701.678806 1090.574800
2025-03-23 120.839314 166.164186 230.902396 333.435546 498.334005 765.847480 1262.222903
2025-03-30 110.210611 154.707043 220.003067 326.760393 505.190137 808.284188 1404.306452
2025-04-06 102.521296 146.735175 213.298486 325.492917 520.148437 866.153651 1587.545617
2025-04-13 92.904916 134.951206 199.502480 310.895256 509.885559 876.547992 1678.000623
2025-04-20 90.046311 133.313671 201.445104 322.689897 547.813228 983.157276 1998.399186
2025-04-27 87.803990 132.398164 204.362945 336.344234 590.976252 1107.965575 2396.991469
2025-05-04 83.469446 127.709292 200.515515 337.324042 609.661213 1185.397182 2704.655185
2025-05-11 77.887002 120.675637 192.299850 329.774988 611.104921 1227.738771 2941.276361
2025-05-18 73.056833 114.580859 185.247573 323.740317 615.016946 1277.023159 3216.486696
2025-05-25 70.731029 112.567732 185.199369 331.190804 648.729236 1403.737358 3769.433031
2025-06-01 67.510995 108.751873 181.544792 330.997233 665.449737 1492.130597 4240.056334
2025-06-08 63.732748 103.688978 175.181265 324.563895 666.905124 1541.308936 4599.808358
2025-06-15 61.200678 100.684307 172.422859 325.335313 685.430386 1640.800012 5189.774254
2025-06-22 57.980682 96.225042 166.557094 318.859013 685.408373 1688.280482 5603.438461
2025-06-29 55.623843 93.207823 163.255203 317.629191 698.340853 1776.919688 6236.296789
2025-07-06 51.980044 87.594488 154.493277 303.462757 676.202202 1754.482299 6371.111277
2025-07-13 51.374784 87.649825 156.972018 314.909324 723.031586 1960.548257 7701.990686
2025-07-20 50.949121 88.011437 160.081870 328.157065 777.161882 2207.524662 9444.997560